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Avalanche in Pakistan
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bigdamo



Joined: 02 Jun 2009
Posts: 61
Location: Xinjiang,China

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 10:47 am    Post subject: Avalanche in Pakistan Reply with quote

What do you reckon are the chances for these people http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-17643625
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hutguy



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 7115
Location: Breckenridge CO

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 12:11 pm    Post subject: Re: Avalanche in Pakistan Reply with quote

bigdamo wrote:
What do you reckon are the chances for these people http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-17643625


Not good. As big a loss and tragedy for these men's families and loved ones and anyone one who has lost a friend/loved one to an avalanche.

There was a story in (I think) Outside Magazine some years ago about Kashmir and the conditions the Indian and Pakistani military exist in.

Pretty nuts. Confused
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bigdamo



Joined: 02 Jun 2009
Posts: 61
Location: Xinjiang,China

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 12:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I am told the dogs don't live in these high altitudes for any length of time they will have to bring them in.Doesn't look good.
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robrox



Joined: 20 Oct 2005
Posts: 17767
Location: following Diogenes, but the ba$tard threw away the lamp so I'm just stumbling along in the dark!

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 1:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The radio story this AM indicated it was an extremely forceful avalanche....it seems like the offices, huts and barracks were not just buried, but crushed and buried. Any hope? Yes, slight hope.

My condolences to the bereaved.
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elk-tamer



Joined: 27 Dec 2004
Posts: 2909
Location: Calgary

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 2:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

this attitude:
Quote:
Although the region is prone to avalanches, the general said, they tend to occur in "forward bases" at higher altitude, where only 10 or 20 troops are located.

might have something to do with it. If your risk intolerance says that losing 10-20 is acceptable, every once in a while a bigger event it going to happen.
The Indians use avalanche planning as part of their military strategy. They don't do it properly, but at least they're going in the right direction.
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SteveH



Joined: 25 May 2006
Posts: 790
Location: Boulder, Colorado

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 4:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Siachen Conflict has been going on for over 25 years now. More soldiers die from the elements than actual combat. There are no signs that this conflict will ever be resolved soon. At work, we have a copy of the old DMA TPC map of the area and it is incredibly rugged. What is amazing is that the fight is over a bunch of uninhabitable rock, snow and ice but it is the gateway to some significant destination peaks for mountaineers. I don't know about the ski potential though Wink
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stevesliva



Joined: 11 Dec 2004
Posts: 10174
Location: SEA

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 4:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

elk-tamer wrote:
If your risk intolerance says that losing 10-20 is acceptable, every once in a while a bigger event it going to happen.
The Indians use avalanche planning as part of their military strategy. They don't do it properly, but at least they're going in the right direction.


But if the other guys are willing to occupy and area you vacate due to avalanche danger or extreme weather, they get to keep it?
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polemonium



Joined: 23 Dec 2010
Posts: 414
Location: in a subaru down by the dry wash

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 5:40 pm    Post subject: Re: Avalanche in Pakistan Reply with quote

hutguy wrote:

There was a story in (I think) Outside Magazine some years ago about Kashmir and the conditions the Indian and Pakistani military exist in.

Pretty nuts. Confused


Yes. Here's the article, I remember reading it when it came out, good photos too: http://www.outsideonline.com/outdoor-adventure/123274783.html?page=all

Although not as high altitude, the area of the Dolomites that Italy and Austria fought over in WW I had mountain fortifications, outposts being lost to avalanches, etc. I visited a town museum that showed photos and diaries from two residents who had fought there. Crazy, pointless, nasty stuff.
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gpp33



Joined: 08 Mar 2010
Posts: 413
Location: Longmont, Co

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 5:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I wonder if they ever use slides as a war tactic. Seems if they are dumb enough to station 100 troops at the base of an Avy path one could take advantage of that given the right snow conditions.
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bristlecone



Joined: 19 Feb 2008
Posts: 339
Location: Singapore

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 5:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

A few more details:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/04/07/us-pakistan-avalanche-idUSBRE83603O20120407?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&rpc=71

What to make of this?

Quote:

"This happened at six o'clock. These avalanches usually happen at night. It took them by surprise," Abbas told Reuters.
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elk-tamer



Joined: 27 Dec 2004
Posts: 2909
Location: Calgary

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 5:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

stevesliva wrote:

But if the other guys are willing to occupy and area you vacate due to avalanche danger or extreme weather, they get to keep it?

I have no idea. My guess would be that whole area is only kept by military presence, and if it's vacated it would be lost.

They really don't seem to understand avalanches though. From my very brief exposure to the process, I got the impression they're spending a shiat load on figuring out snow depth, and treating that as the only thing to worry about.
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ATScott



Joined: 24 Mar 2010
Posts: 1032

PostPosted: Sat Apr 07, 2012 7:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sad. Would be good if India would offer to help. Maybe they have.
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hutguy



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 7115
Location: Breckenridge CO

PostPosted: Sun Apr 08, 2012 12:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

elk-tamer wrote:


They really don't seem to understand avalanches though. From my very brief exposure to the process, I got the impression they're spending a shiat load on figuring out snow depth, and treating that as the only thing to worry about.


They've been living in this environment for a long time. I'd guess they do have a pretty good idea about avalanches. One of the stories I read suggests this was just a monster one they didn't think would run as far as it did. That, plus acceptance of risk in what is more or less a war zone is different than how most recreationalist's would see it.
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Creeds and doctrines are like a raft to get you to the other shore and then to relinquish. Neither cling to the raft or reject it when drowning. Even better, become a strong swimmer.

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ghostofcarl



Joined: 22 Jul 2010
Posts: 6624

PostPosted: Sun Apr 08, 2012 12:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

hutguy wrote:
They've been living in this environment for a long time. I'd guess they do have a pretty good idea about avalanches.


I'd highly doubt that based on experiences with the Indian military. Many of them never experienced freezing temps, much less snow and high mountains before they were stationed in the north. Poorly equipped and provisioned and poorly trained.
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bigdamo



Joined: 02 Jun 2009
Posts: 61
Location: Xinjiang,China

PostPosted: Sun Apr 08, 2012 1:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

hutguy wrote:
elk-tamer wrote:


They really don't seem to understand avalanches though. From my very brief exposure to the process, I got the impression they're spending a shiat load on figuring out snow depth, and treating that as the only thing to worry about.


They've been living in this environment for a long time. I'd guess they do have a pretty good idea about avalanches. One of the stories I read suggests this was just a monster one they didn't think would run as far as it did. That, plus acceptance of risk in what is more or less a war zone is different than how most recreationalist's would see it.


I wonder how much they know about avalanches not much me thinks.The highway from China to Pakistan was hit by a monster avalanche a year or so ago it was closed for quite a while.This highway is the only road into Pakistan carrying large amounts of freight.This must of hurt as this highway is only open for 5 or 6 months a year normally.

Here in Xinjiang(close to Pakistan) they know nothing about avalanches they only worry about heavy snow depth closing roads.

There weather reports are woefully lacking info doubt it would be much better over the border in Pakistan.
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