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Climate Change and the Tahoe Basin
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Baaahb



Joined: 07 Jan 2005
Posts: 15753
Location: Ponderosa

PostPosted: Sun Jul 29, 2012 2:40 pm    Post subject: Climate Change and the Tahoe Basin Reply with quote

As Tahoe backcountry skiers SHOULD know, the LTBMU is revising its management plan. Unfortunately, the plan does not address snowmobiles....but that's a topic for another thread.

The plan documents have a wealth of information about the basin. The discussion of climate change is very disturbing. Some excerpts:

Quote:
Over the last century, mean annual temperature in the Lake Tahoe Basin (LTB) has risen by about two degrees fahrenheit (Fig. D1). This trend is driven by a highly significant
increase in mean minimum (i.e., nighttime) temperatures, which have risen by four degrees F since 1910. For the first time on record, the annual average of the monthly mean minima is now above the freezing point (Fig. D1). At the beginning of the last
century, seven to eight months in a year could be expected to have average nighttime temperatures that fell below freezing. Today the average is closer to six months, and the trend is strongly downward.

At the beginning of the last century,
about 54% of precipitation fell as snow, today the average is about 34%. Streamflow data
show that peak snowmelt in the LTB is occurring 2½ weeks earlier today than at the
beginning of the 1960’s, when the record began (TERC 2008).

Snowpack measurements show a strong downward trend across northern California
over the last ½ century, with the Sierra Nevada near Lake Tahoe experiencing
decreases of >70% in snow water equivalent in many places (Fig. D4).


More here: http://www.fs.usda.gov/wps/portal/fsinternet/!ut/p/c4/04_SB8K8xLLM9MSSzPy8xBz9CP0os3gjAwhwtDDw9_AI8zPwhQoY6BdkOyoCAPkATlA!/?ss=110519&navtype=BROWSEBYSUBJECT&cid=FSE_003756&navid=130100000000000&pnavid=130000000000000&position=BROWSEBYSUBJECT&ttype=main&pname=Lake%20Tahoe%20Basin%20Mgt%20Unit-%20Planning

Above quotes are from Appendix D.
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JPL



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 3256

PostPosted: Sun Jul 29, 2012 3:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
At the beginning of the last century, about 54% of precipitation fell as snow, today the average is about 34%.


Why stop at the beginning of the last century?

At the beginning of the century before last, a period known as The Little Ice Age, it's likely 100% of the precipitation fell as snow.

Quote:
...with the Sierra Nevada near Lake Tahoe experiencing
decreases of >70% in snow water equivalent in many places


And in other, higher places, the snow water equivalent has been increasing.
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Will Tele



Joined: 27 Jul 2012
Posts: 150
Location: June Lake, CA

PostPosted: Sun Jul 29, 2012 3:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Your link doesn't work, take out everything after http://www.fs.usda.gov/wps/portal/fsinternet/
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Baaahb



Joined: 07 Jan 2005
Posts: 15753
Location: Ponderosa

PostPosted: Sun Jul 29, 2012 4:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

JPL wrote:
Quote:
At the beginning of the last century, about 54% of precipitation fell as snow, today the average is about 34%.


Why stop at the beginning of the last century?

At the beginning of the century before last, a period known as The Little Ice Age, it's likely 100% of the precipitation fell as snow.

Quote:
...with the Sierra Nevada near Lake Tahoe experiencing
decreases of >70% in snow water equivalent in many places


And in other, higher places, the snow water equivalent has been increasing.


So submit a comment to LTBMU and tell them not to bother planning for climate change. Makes a lot of sense to me to plan things like fire management and watershed protection based on what the climate was like in 1800. Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes

WTF is your point?
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JPL



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 29, 2012 4:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

What's your point in posting this on the Happy Forum?

So the fire managers here can begin planning? Laughing

Come on Baaahb, this belongs in the WOT and you know it.
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Baaahb



Joined: 07 Jan 2005
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Location: Ponderosa

PostPosted: Sun Jul 29, 2012 5:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dude, this is not a thread about man-made global warming. This thread directly concerns the future of skiing in Tahoe and the Sierra.

Interestingly, the snowfall trend is contrary to this year, where the southern sierra had a much lower snow winter than the north. Did you even notice that?

No matter how you cut it, the trend for the future (measured in a human time scale) is not good for winter recreation in the Sierra. Of course, winter recreation is currently awesome, so maybe we're faced with a downgrade to "usually very good" . Laughing We'll still have good skiing, but shorter seasons. I'm sure some folks are even happy with the trend.
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X-Man



Joined: 07 Dec 2004
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 29, 2012 6:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes, this is why I come here, to hear all about how the earth has been warming for the last couple of hundred years and the skiing is going to get worse and worse.

Thanks for the stoke. Rolling Eyes
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Baaahb



Joined: 07 Jan 2005
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Location: Ponderosa

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2012 1:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

srsly, Mitch, this is way off topic?

I think a lot of tipsters would be interested in the information contained in the report
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JPL



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2012 1:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I told you Baaahb.

People have been trying to claim global warming is of vital interest to skiers and all that blah blah blah from the start. And while it may be of interest to some, any thread that begins with the words 'climate change' or 'global warming' is going to end up with strong political overtones at best, or as major political fight at worst.

You may have heard, there's an election coming up, with one 'green' candidate and another seen as being friendly to business and industry.

Oops, silly me, of course you have, that's why you posted what you did in the first place.

And don't even try to play dumb.
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Baaahb



Joined: 07 Jan 2005
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Location: Ponderosa

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2012 1:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I provide a link to, and some quotes from, a report by the agency responsible for overseeing one of the most popular ski destinations in the country, and it is way off topic? as I said earlier, this is not a man made global warming thread. you, JPL, may have tried to turn it into such a thread, but it seems to me that Mitch has thrown the baby out with the bath water

oh, well, the forum changes and Mitch can take it whatever direction he wants.
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freeheelwilly



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 8432
Location: on your nerves....

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2012 1:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is the second blatantly political thread Boob started on the happy forum in the last week. My image of Boob is of this kinda milky white, fifty-something, pudgy little dork with soft hands and an even softer middle. He reads his NYT and looks down on NASCAR fans and people who ride snowmobiles.

It'd be fun to pound on him with a bat.
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JPL



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2012 1:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Baaahb, this is the same line of reasoning scotsman and others tried to use many years ago, that climate change is important to skiers and thus on topic, and that it's only the skeptics who make it political. It was bullshit then and it's bullshit now.

Also bullshit is your assertion that Mitch is changing his position on this: He specifically mentioned upon its creation that this is the place to "debate politics (and) global warming." Not the Happy Forum. His words are still right there in the Forum Index describing the WOT board.
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Baaahb



Joined: 07 Jan 2005
Posts: 15753
Location: Ponderosa

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2012 2:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

JPL, it is not and never was intended to be a political discussion and I regret having not simply ignored your attempt to make it so.

there is a distinction between discussing the causes of global warming and the specific impact of climate change in popular ski areas. the only reason to delete the latter discussion from the happy forum is what X-man posted.

maybe - as a nonpoltiical matter - there is nothing we can do about climate change, but so what. it is pertinent and on-topic information. I found the information very interesting (though disturbingly so) and I'm sure others on this forum would also....if provided access to it

there is also a wealth of information in the report on other topics of interest, including wildlife populations, changes in vegetation ...and the three areas where one can car camp in the LTBMU at dispersed locations
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rsireland3



Joined: 21 Sep 2007
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Location: EL/R -6.12, SL/A -8.15 in NW VT and slightly south of the Poutine Curtain

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2012 2:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

What on earth does this thread have to do with SLMHTB???
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Will Tele



Joined: 27 Jul 2012
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Location: June Lake, CA

PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2012 2:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
and the three areas where one can car camp in the LTBMU at dispersed locations


Laughing

So why didn't you title your thread "3 areas to car camp around lake tahoe?" Laughing

Everybody knows why Baahb, so why lie?

I just got here and knew from the start that climate change threads are supposed to be posted on this board. It's right there on the opening page.
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