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neilm



Joined: 12 Dec 2004
Posts: 388
Location: Kodiak, AK

PostPosted: Thu Jan 06, 2005 5:44 pm    Post subject: Slope Reply with quote

I've heard that 35-40 deg is the most common slope for avalanche. Do most educated Tele skiiers simply avoid a certain range 100% of the time? Most of the time? Is there some rule of thumb that people use when it comes to slope? I have been skiing slopes around 25 deg but mostly because I'm still learning to ski and I find anything more to be intimidating. As I get better I'll be tempted to ski steeper stuff.

Neil
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AltaPowderDaze



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 689
Location: Snowbird

PostPosted: Thu Jan 06, 2005 5:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

when the slope is unstable (or an aspect is suspect) and it can slide (25 degrees +) i usually avoid it. you should look into an avy class or read a few of the books that are out there. abc's, snow sense and staying alive in avalanche terrain are all good books with the latter being the most complete.
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Gary Brill



Joined: 07 Dec 2004
Posts: 1717

PostPosted: Thu Jan 06, 2005 7:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's not just about the angle. It's also about the slope size and consequences, and conditions, including layering and wind and sun effects. Sometimes (many times really) a steep slope on a wind or sun-sheltered or exposed slope can be relatively safe while a somewhat lower angled slope on the opposite aspect may be unsafe.

The size of slope, depth of the potential sliding layer, and terrain traps, cliffs, etc. all influence the likely consequences. I don't ncessarily mind triggering a slab limited to a relatively shallow depth if I know I won't get buried or carried by the slab. Trees are often a good answer to this dilemma, as are smaller slopes and many times crested slopes, where the debris from a slide will spread instead of concentrate.
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Ava Blanche



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 268
Location: Beautiful British Columbia

PostPosted: Thu Jan 06, 2005 8:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This has been the subject of much previous discussion, but here is the answer to your question:



This is a graph of avalanche occurrence vs slope angle. It shows that avalanches most commonly occur on slopes of between 38 and 40°. Note that avalanches are rare on slopes of less than 25°, and above 40°, snow tends to slough off before an avalanche problem is created.

But look at this graph of slope angle vs number of avalanche accidents:



This shows that most avalanche accidents occur on slopes of between 31 and 35°.

Why the difference? To make for a problem you need to have avalanche hazard AND people in the way. So between 31 and 35° you have the combination of a high enough avalanche hazard AND a slope that people like to ski.
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snowdynamics



Joined: 12 Dec 2004
Posts: 618
Location: Wasilla, Alaska

PostPosted: Thu Jan 06, 2005 9:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Let's not forget slope shape:

Convex slopes have a greater propencity for failure under similiar conditions.

Carry on.....
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Snowman



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 791
Location: Ask Heisenberg

PostPosted: Thu Jan 06, 2005 11:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

snowdynamics wrote:
Let's not forget slope shape:

Convex slopes have a greater propencity for failure under similiar conditions.

Carry on.....


This is a natural result of creep in the snowpack. It gets mentioned a lot. But my question is this:

If you are down to worrying about slope shape and avoiding convexities don't you think that you may be better off avoiding entire slopes based on overall, average, or steepest angle?

This is like the "don't fall" theory and comments - that a fall will put more stress on the snowpack. Again, if somebody is worried about that I think maybe they are on the wrong slope to begin with.

Trying to split hairs and make route/terrain choices on these kinds of fine points is not a very wise approach.

On the original question - I don't think very many skier avoid slopes within a certain range all the time. But it is a possible approach to greatly reducing your risk if you can do that and still be satisfied with the skiing. If not then the question becomes one of when certain slopes and slope angles are higher risk vs lower risk. As Gary pointed out, this is a non-trivial issue. It deserves a Level 1 course at a minimum. In addition to all the physics people seem to like discussing there are important human factors (including aceptable risk levels for different people and at different times) and potential consequences.

Jim
Avalanche Center
AlpenPro


Last edited by Snowman on Fri Jun 30, 2006 10:23 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Ava Blanche



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 268
Location: Beautiful British Columbia

PostPosted: Fri Jan 07, 2005 12:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is off the topic of the original question, but I do think that convex slopes have an extra element of hazard, and should be skied more cautiously.



Convexities most often reflect underlying topography- a steep slope rolling over to a more gentle one. They might also be formed by wind deposition.

But convex slopes are more hazardous because, unlike a straight slope, they are in tension due to the fact that there is more snow creep below the break in slope as compared to above. If a skier crosses this area of snow that is in tension, a fracture may be precipitated, which may then run into adjacent snow.

Another problem with convex rolls is that snow above the break in slope may be less deep, and therefore is more likely to collapse under the weight of a skier.

Finally, convex slopes are locally steeper, which increases their likelihood of being start zones.

But Jim's point is a good one: if a slope is really so close to failing, should you decide, on the basis of something as relatively trivial as its shape (convex or concave), whether you ski it or not? I hardly think so.
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funhog



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 4135
Location: psssttt, over here...

PostPosted: Fri Jan 07, 2005 12:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

About the only place I know you can go and have minimal worries about Avies is Manitoba Mountain on the Kenai. Eddies has Avys and that's probably the next safest place. I don't think Manitoba has ever had any. All of its slopes are below 28 and most are between 22 and 25. I hope that's not famous last words.

Maybe some other folks have ideas but if you're in avy terrain, its best to be prepared and have knowledge besides slope angles.

Sole heeler had a thread someplace that I can't find about the basic question you asked.
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Valdez Telehead



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 1568

PostPosted: Fri Jan 07, 2005 1:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

"Is there some rule of thumb that people use when it comes to slope? "

Yes there is a rule and that is to accurately measure your slopes with a slope-meter. Do not guess. Stay at or under 30 degrees under most conditions except Considerable to High, at least til your snowpack evaluation skills are improved either by expereince or Level One.

Skiers can be so obsessed with steep that they forget what a pleasure and option it is to ski at 25-30. I would think over a season, I may actually spend 15% of my time above 32 degrees. Its not always possible to just ski steep (like all the ski-porn stars seem to do!!) So get steep out of your head. Its about stability, not steep.

The #1 thing to know about a slope is its correct angle. Everything else come after that input.

My alarm alway go off at 30 degrees. I become a totally different BC skier.
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Snowman



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 791
Location: Ask Heisenberg

PostPosted: Fri Jan 07, 2005 2:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

funhog wrote:
About the only place I know you can go and have minimal worries about Avies is Manitoba Mountain on the Kenai.


Manitoba Mountain, hmmm. Maybe it has that name for a reason? Smile

I think if you went to Manitoba, Canada you'd be safe.

Jim
Avalanche Center
AlpenPro


Last edited by Snowman on Fri Jun 30, 2006 10:24 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Gary Brill



Joined: 07 Dec 2004
Posts: 1717

PostPosted: Fri Jan 07, 2005 5:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

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funhog



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 4135
Location: psssttt, over here...

PostPosted: Fri Jan 07, 2005 9:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gary and Jim you are too funny.


Here's an avy looking from the North side of Manitoba. this was taken last weekend.


And here's a closer view...


so instead of Oklahoma maybe we need a license plate for Wisconsin?
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Kees



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 324
Location: Nederland

PostPosted: Fri Jan 07, 2005 11:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

There is a rule about these slopeangles and it is called the Munter reduction formula. But you won't make much friends with that rule in America Wink

Do not forget, not only the steepness of the slope at the point where you are skiing is important, you should look at the steepest part of the entire slope, even if you don't tread that part. There are some Euro rules to that too. Depending on the avy danger more or less parts of the slope are critical to you.

I won't go in more detail. This is just to add the international flavor to this forum.
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hutguy



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 7117
Location: Breckenridge CO

PostPosted: Fri Jan 07, 2005 2:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Valdez Telehead wrote:
"Is there some rule of thumb that people use when it comes to slope? "

Yes there is a rule and that is to accurately measure your slopes with a slope-meter. Do not guess. Stay at or under 30 degrees under most conditions except Considerable to High, at least til your snowpack evaluation skills are improved either by expereince or Level One.

Skiers can be so obsessed with steep that they forget what a pleasure and option it is to ski at 25-30. I would think over a season, I may actually spend 15% of my time above 32 degrees. Its not always possible to just ski steep (like all the ski-porn stars seem to do!!) So get steep out of your head. Its about stability, not steep.

The #1 thing to know about a slope is its correct angle. Everything else come after that input.

My alarm alway go off at 30 degrees. I become a totally different BC skier.


I'm kind of with you on that VT. Here in Colorado I rarely ski BC slopes steeper the 30 deg until corn season. My level of risk acceptance is just not very high; I never completely trust a continental snowpack.
Of course, different snowpacks have different levels of danger. I've skied stuff with guides in the Selkirks that gave my Colorado nurtured instincts the willies and got away with it. Folks in the Serrias and other maritime snowpacks routinely ski steeper terrain than I would be comfortable with in Colorado. My skills have been honed in the worst snowpack in the lower 48 (Summit County Colorado, home of the trace Rolling Eyes ) and I am definitely a product of it.
I have had my "extreme" phase in my ski "career", and I still like to ski those steep tricky lines when I have a very high level of confidence in the snowpack (almost always in the spring, very rarely in mid winter). I have found that slopes in the 25-30 deg range give me plenty of pleasure-not to mention, 25-30 deg is steeper than most people realize. A slope meter is one of the most usefull tools to have in your pocket.
All good advice above, but most of all, take a good level I and try to find some good mentors. Avoid TRG type ski porn star wannabes. IMHO (and most accident reports show this)testosterone and the BC do not make a good mix.
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wow



Joined: 06 Dec 2004
Posts: 2203
Location: not suited for office work

PostPosted: Fri Jan 07, 2005 3:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Reading through this thread it seems I'm blessed to be living where I do.
I ski slopes between 30 and 35 degrees just about everyday I ski.
Seldom carry a slope meter anymore but I did for years and have most slope angles I ski memorized. I also know which are most likely to slide and under what conditions.
Familiarity? Expert halo? Don't think so as the route changes based on the snow conditions.
Munter method? It's in my head but isn't called that. It's called common sense or maybe snow sense.
I'd suggest basing the what is safe to ski and what is not on the prevailing coditions in the area you live and either a knowledge of this or study and or a mentor who has experience with the conditions would be neccesary.

Not old, but getting there. Bold, only when the snow says so.
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All the cagey avalanche folks I know, me included, have sworn off slopes steeper than about 33° for the rest of the season.
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